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JLL’s preliminary numbers also show local market gains in Asia Pacific and declines in EMEA
JLL reports preliminary global direct commercial real estate investment transaction volumes have reached US$148 billion in the first quarter of 2015, up 4.0 percent over Q1 2014. The Americas are leading the charge, with volumes up 18 percent over the same period last year. Volumes from Asia Pacific stand just 3.0 percent higher while numbers in EMEA fell by 11 percent in US dollar terms but are 8 percent higher in local currency terms, reflecting the strength of the US dollar against many global currencies currently.
Arthur de Haast, Lead Director, International Capital Group, JLL said, “The United States is the engine that’s powering growth in the Americas with volumes 26 percent higher than last year, compensating for the declines in both Latin America and Canada. The strong dollar is also influencing activity in the Euro Zone, Japan and Australia, where local market activity has increased but whose currencies have all weakened against the US dollar over the past year.” JLL expects total commercial real estate volumes for 2015 to be between US$740 billion and US$760 billion, up 4.0 percent over 2014 volumes.
“Global real estate continues to benefit from increasing capital inflows with a greater number of large portfolio and single asset deals expected to transact during the year,” noted David Green-Morgan, JLL’s Global Capital Markets Research Director.
“Despite the US Federal Reserve flagging potential interest rate rises in 2015, swap markets continue to show little upward movement in US rates by year end. With most major economies holding their interest rates steady for the foreseeable future, real estate should continue to look attractive against fixed income comparables.”
Regional overviewsThe Americas continued to lead performance globally with volumes of US$73billion in the first quarter, which is 18 percent higher than Q1 2014.
European volumes reached US$51 billion, as most of the countries across the continent experienced volume growth. Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries were the outliers, down 20 percent in Euro terms. While the United Kingdom led growth in Q1, pivotal elections on the horizon in the second quarter could have an impact on growth if an uncertain government is formed.
In Asia Pacific, markets have started 2015 in similar fashion to 2014, with volumes just 3 percent higher at US$24 billion. Japan, the region’s biggest market, was 4 percent higher year-over-year with over US$12 billion of transactions as the end of the fiscal year encouraged investment.
Notes to Editors:1. Property types in JLL’s Global Capital Flows report include hotels, office, industrial and retail. The numbers represented here are preliminary; the final Global Capital Flows report for Q1 2015 will be released in late April 2015.
2. JLL’s Global Capital Flows analysis provides a set of data designed to help investors understand how commercial real estate capital is moving around the world. The findings are released quarterly, first in the transaction volume analysis represented in this release, and secondly in a broader quarterly report which will be issued in the following weeks. All of the current Global Capital Flows data can be found in an interactive website which also acts as a portal for media and clients to access Jones Lang LaSalle’s global capital markets research. Bookmark this site for the most up to date global real estate data: http://www.joneslanglasallesites.com/gcf For more news, please visit The Investor, an online and mobile app news source providing real-time commercial real estate news to asset buyers and sellers around the world.
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Marketing and Communications, Global Capital Markets